Although the UK election result may provide greater certainty for car buyers, the most recent forecasts from industry bodies continue to anticipate weaker demand in 2020. While Marshall Motor Holdings (MMH) is delivering on its profit expectations for 2019, the combination of the potential further weakness in car markets and the investment being made in loss-making businesses to grow future share and profits leads us to reduce our FY20 PBT estimate by £4.1m. However, a FY20 P/E ratio of 7.7x remains undemanding and is supported by the healthy dividend yield.
Year end | Revenue (£m) | PBT* (£m) | EPS* (p) | DPS (p) | P/E (x) | Yield (%) |
12/17** | 2,232.0 | 25.4 | 26.9 | 6.40 | 5.6 | 4.3 |
12/18 | 2,186.9 | 25.7 | 27.4 | 8.54 | 5.5 | 5.7 |
12/19e | 2,201.9 | 23.2 | 23.0 | 8.54 | 6.5 | 5.7 |
12/20e | 2,359.8 | 19.7 | 19.5 | 8.54 | 7.7 | 5.7 |
Note: *PBT and EPS are normalised, excluding amortisation of acquired intangibles and exceptional items. **Restated following the sale of Leasing in FY17. IFRS 16 adopted from FY19; prior years not restated.
Marshall Motor Holdings Plc (LON:MMH), together with its subsidiaries, engages in retailing passenger cars and commercial vehicles in the United Kingdom. It sells new and used vehicles; and provides after sales services, such as servicing, body shop repairs, and parts sales.