Predictions
- Attack on Hazara minority highlights Islamic State’s efforts to stoke sectarian tensions but capabilities will remain confined to Baluchistan province
- Army will tighten security in Quetta following attack, particularly as Prime Minister Khan will likely visit area in coming days following political pressure
- Hazara demonstrators will sustain protest in Quetta in coming days, but efforts will entail no long-term business disruption
Event
Islamic State (IS) claimed to have killed 11 members of Pakistan’s Hazara minority in an attack in the Mach area of Baluchistan province’s Bolan district on 3 January.
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