Predictions
- Credible allegations of PKK arson will somewhat limit pressure on government despite inability to quickly control wildfires
- Remaining fires will shortly be extinguished, however media coverage of hotel evacuations risks further undermining weakened tourism sector
- Government will remain eager to deflect blame onto militants until fires are controlled, raising short-term risk of anti-Kurdish violence
Event
At least eight people are confirmed to have died in 112 wildfires which broke out on 28 July. As of 30 July, many provinces, including Adana, Osmaniye, Mersin and Kayseri, have been affected, with major fires also breaking out near the beach resorts of Antalya and Mugla and in Bodrum where hotels were evacuated.
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