Predictions
- Disagreements within ruling coalition will weaken president’s authority, strengthen radical faction and raise risk of default on foreign debt
- Government will lift COVID-19 restrictions and boost spending in attempt to attract swing voters ahead of mid-term congressional elections
- Increased strength of populist faction in government makes new debt rescheduling agreement with IMF less likely
Event
President Alberto Fernández “relaunched” his government on 20 September with a reshuffled ministerial team, after politically disastrous primary elections on 12 September to choose candidate lists for mid-term congressional elections due on 14 November.
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