Biden will likely win presidency, but Trump’s expected refusal to accept outcome risks political uncertainty

Predictions

  • Biden will likely win presidency, but Trump’s expected refusal to accept outcome risks causing weeks of political uncertainty post-election
  • Biden wins in Florida and North Carolina will limit extent of uncertainty, but outcome will otherwise depend on states where counts will face delays
  • Long delays in reaching outcome will raise risk of nationwide unrest and violence, particularly from armed right-wing groups

Event

US President Donald Trump and Democratic challenger Joe Biden held their second and final head-to-head debate in Nashville on 22 October.

Falanx Assynt is a global intelligence consultancy and leading provider of geopolitical, strategic and business risk analysis since 2003. Falanx Assynt is part of Falanx Group Ltd (LON:FLX) which, through its subsidiaries, provides cyber defence and intelligence services to blue chip and government clients worldwide.

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