Mali: Military coup leaders will seek to reach political settlement with opposition in effort to legitimise coup

Predictions

  • Military coup leaders will seek to reach political settlement with opposition in effort to legitimise coup and ease external pressure in coming weeks
  • West African regional bloc ECOWAS will maintain border closures and financial sanctions for now amid demands that Keita be reinstated
  • Risks of sporadic violent unrest in Bamako will increase if talks between military leaders and opposition activists fail to make progress in coming months

Event

President Ibrahim Boubacar Keita was detained alongside several ministers by factions of the army and National Guard in a military coup on 18 August, later resigning and dissolving the government. Keita and former Prime Minister Boubou Cisse are believed to be being held at a military camp in Kati, 15 km northwest of Bamako.

Falanx Assynt is a global intelligence consultancy and leading provider of geopolitical, strategic and business risk analysis since 2003. Falanx Assynt is part of Falanx Group Ltd (LON:FLX) which, through its subsidiaries, provides cyber defence and intelligence services to blue chip and government clients worldwide.

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