Mozambique-Tanzania security pact will be unable to halt tempo of Islamist militant attacks in Cabo Delgado

Predictions

  • Mozambique-Tanzania security pact will be unable to halt tempo of Islamist militant attacks in Cabo Delgado
  • Militants will be unable to directly threaten LNG facilities, but will target poorly defended towns and villages in effort to stoke anti-government sentiment
  • Government’s unwillingness to accept regional military support suggests militant attacks will extend into Niassa and Nampula provinces in longer term

Event

President Filipe Nyusi said on 11 January that he had reached an agreement with Tanzanian President John Magufuli to set up a joint defence and security committee to tackle the Islamist insurgency in Cabo Delgado, Mozambique’s northernmost province. 

Falanx Assynt is a global intelligence consultancy and leading provider of geopolitical, strategic and business risk analysis since 2003. Falanx Assynt is part of Falanx Group Ltd (LON:FLX) which, through its subsidiaries, provides cyber defence and intelligence services to blue chip and government clients worldwide.

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