The oil market reacted positively to the IEA report yesterday, with Brent trading back above US$40/bbl. The agency reported that OECD inventories at the end of April stood at a little over 3.1b bbls, whilst preliminary data suggest record inventories in early June.
Meanwhile, demand has also performed better than expected, and the agency revised higher its demand estimates by 500Mbbls/d, which now suggest demand falling by 8.1MMbbls/d YoY. Then unsurprisingly, demand is expected to recover in 2021, with it estimated to grow by 5.7MMbbls/d YoY. This obviously will still leave it below 2019 demand levels, but reflects expectations that it will take a considerable amount of time for air travel to return to normal levels.
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