Predictions
- Rising refugee flows to Trinidad and Tobago show Venezuelan crisis will continue to pressure surrounding countries
- US allies Colombia and Brazil will continue to strongly criticise Maduro government, which will perpetuate tensions and risk of sporadic border clashes
- Venezuela may also seek to pressure smaller neighbours to northeast – in the Caribbean and Guyana – which could also lead to increased regional tensions
Event
Venezuelan officials said on 14 December that they had recovered the bodies of at least 20 Venezuelan migrants who had drowned attempting to make the short sea crossing from the northeastern state of Sucre to Trinidad and Tobago.
Falanx Assynt is a global intelligence consultancy and leading provider of geopolitical, strategic and business risk analysis since 2003. Falanx Assynt is part of Falanx Group Ltd (LON:FLX) which, through its subsidiaries, provides cyber defence and intelligence services to blue chip and government clients worldwide.