Predictions
- End of GCC dispute will offer opportunity to improve ties with Riyadh and Abu Dhabi, but wider strategic regional rivalries will persist
- De-escalation of tensions between Ankara and Riyadh will promote greater economic ties, with Riyadh likely to end boycott of Turkish goods
- Ankara will not significantly alter foreign policy approach including support for regional Islamists, which will sustain tensions, particularly with UAE
Event
Turkey’s foreign ministry released a statement on 5 January supporting leaders’ decisions at the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) summit to end the Saudi-led blockade of Qatar. The statement described the decision as “beneficial to the region” and voiced hopes that the dispute would come to a complete end.
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