Predictions
- Maritime skirmish highlights increased tensions with Iran over normalisation of ties with Israel, but will not result in increased risk to commercial shipping
- Longstanding US regional policy and Israeli objections will prevent UAE from securing deal to acquire F-35 fighter jets
- Emirati-Israeli bilateral relations will continue to strengthen in coming months, but focus will remain on trade agreements
Event
The UAE coastguard killed two Iranian fishermen and seized their fishing vessel on 17 August, the same day that Iran briefly detained a UAE-registered vessel, claiming the ship had entered its waters.
Falanx Assynt is a global intelligence consultancy and leading provider of geopolitical, strategic and business risk analysis since 2003. Falanx Assynt is part of Falanx Group Ltd (LON:FLX) which, through its subsidiaries, provides cyber defence and intelligence services to blue chip and government clients worldwide.