Uneven global exit from pandemic will ensure divergence in economic recoveries this year

Predictions

  • Uneven global exit from pandemic will ensure divergence in economic recoveries this year, raising risk of instability across emerging markets
  • IMF projections for strong rebound in advanced economies will likely be realised as a result of stimulus measures and mass vaccinations
  • Forecasts in emerging markets will however likely prove overly optimistic given threats posed by new COVID-19 variants

Event

The IMF published its latest World Economic Outlook (WEO) on 6 April, forecasting headline global GDP growth of 6% in 2021 and 4.4% the following year. 

Falanx Assynt is a global intelligence consultancy and leading provider of geopolitical, strategic and business risk analysis since 2003. Falanx Assynt is part of Falanx Group Ltd (LON:FLX) which, through its subsidiaries, provides cyber defence and intelligence services to blue chip and government clients worldwide.

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