Emerging markets show resilience as US policy expectations shift

Emerging markets rebounded impressively as investors re-evaluated US monetary policy and turned their focus to crucial regional economic indicators. After enduring recent pressures, stocks and currencies in these regions demonstrated renewed strength, captivating attention with their potential for growth amidst global economic uncertainties.

Emerging market assets rallied following a turbulent period triggered by robust US jobs data, which had heightened US bond yields and dampened hopes for imminent rate cuts. Fresh optimism regarding China’s economic prospects and adjusted expectations for US monetary policy reignited confidence in these markets. The MSCI index for emerging market currencies climbed 0.2%, while the stock index surged by 1.3%, marking its strongest daily gain since October.

Despite a marginal uptick in the dollar index, robust performance in Asian and Chinese shares underscored the impact of China’s renewed stability on the broader region. In Hungary, inflation figures exceeded expectations, bolstering the forint by 0.1% against the euro and pushing Budapest stocks to new record highs. Similarly, Romania’s leu maintained stability despite inflationary headwinds, and the South African rand strengthened by 0.4%. Reinet Investments delivered an exceptional 8.6% rise after divesting a significant portion of its British American Tobacco holdings.

The resurgence in emerging market currencies is underpinned by shifts in US monetary policy sentiment and resilient local economic data, further fuelling investor interest. Hungary’s forint has emerged as a standout, with stock indices in Budapest and Johannesburg reflecting broader positive momentum.

These developments signal broader implications for global economic trends. As evolving US policy continues to challenge assumptions, the adaptability of emerging markets underscores their critical role in the international economy. Their ability to navigate volatility and sustain growth keeps investors cautiously optimistic about their prospects.

Fidelity Emerging Markets Limited (LON:FEML) is an investment trust that aims to achieve long-term capital growth from an actively managed portfolio made up primarily of securities and financial instruments providing exposure to emerging markets companies, both listed and unlisted.

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